Trends and forecast analysis of academic staff permanence. Computer system proposal XVII Taller Internacional “La Educación Superior y sus Perspectivas”

Abstract

Academic staff (teachers and researchers) play a leading role in the necessary changes to address the new challenges facing Higher Education and Cuban society. Therefore, their continued employment, providing favorable performance, for as long as possible is one of the priority requirements for managing the human factor in university institutions. Consequently, monitoring and evaluating these trends must be a priority. The objective of this work was to develop a computer system that offers tools to support the quantitative analysis of behavioral trends among academic staff at the Institute of Ecology and Systematics through a set of indicators and their forecasts. This provides an early and proactive view, at the opportune moment, of favorable or critical situations that could arise in a similar or different way in the dynamics of teachers and researchers. The developed application includes modules for managing academic staff data for different years, generating data from the institutional human resources database, obtaining quantitative reports on indicators with different levels of detail, creating tables and graphs showing trends in indicators, and making forecasts using dynamic modeling techniques. The development of this software would contribute to the computerization of human resources management and decision-making in this area.